Tuesday, July 27, 2010

Trade review 7-27-10

I got some of these right...

Hits:

JRN

This fell under 5 for the fade entry, en route to a red finish of over 4%

MNTA

Perfect gap down and fade action all day en route to a red finish of over 12% was very playable for shorts.

SILA

Great morning panic, this finished red by over 10% and was down much more than that early on in the session. It recovered nicely, to a degree, but the short scalp was a gimmie if you had borrows and good fills.

Misses:

NYMX

This faded during the early session neatly, but recovered and finished green, so it must be called a loss.

IDSA

Gap up faded somewhat, but it finished green. My timing may be a day off here, but a loss is a loss.

Push:

INFN

This fell by nearly 2%, after a gap down and early weakness led to a gradual climb up to end out the day. Arguably a push, as it closed higher than it opened. I called it as a down direction day, though.

Totals:
Daily record: W-3 L-2 P-1
60%


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4 comments:

Anonymous said...

You seem arrogant and cocky. I nailed this... I nailed that. Who cares! Did you trade it? NO! Then, why even brag?

Anonymous said...

my short scans have been yielding long results lately, stocks , large gainers with market cap under 5 million,that used to plunge are staying up longer!

Big T said...

I am neither arrogant, nor cocky. Whether I traded it or not is not material, what matters is the quality of the list/setups/analysis so that any given reader can make a play on a targeted security.

I get mail all the time from readers who "nailed" a play from my own lists that I missed or passed on, by the way. That is the value of having good source material for inspiration.

All too often, other so-called "gurus" brag about *their* individual trades or results, which are of little value to other traders, surprisingly.

If their lists suck, your odds go way down.

If I succeed in *calls* over many plays over time, the odds of readers selecting from good candidates goes way up, along with their winning percentage.

If I obtain borrows on any given individual play, and win big and brag, it does not do *you* any good. What if you lacked borrows on those individual plays?

What if they were all over plays that were close to impossible to borrow for YOU but because I had multiple accounts and better funding and brokered with Goldman Sachs I obtained them, but not you? What if those were most of my "picks" that I listed?

Do not be deceived by this common error of neophytes!

What matters is your trades and your wins, not mine.

This is where a well researched, timely and high percent list comes in, sporting good setup analysis and logic to make your own calls from.

Now do you understand?

Big T said...

In the market, anything can happen. Often days happen where little logic applies, and you take a beating. The key is knowing where to admit you were "wrong" and not being stubborn about being "right" to yourself or others. It is all a numbers game, where you try to enter with criteria/rules and exit similarly, hoping to be in the money over time.