TFER
First red day Supernovae. Finished down over 40% last time, so more down side might not be realistic. If it had fallen much less than 10% then more could be expected as plausible. Always watch day 2 of a busted one. The plan is to play for more reddening on day 2. Conditional entry. A flat, nominally green or red open that immediately sells off on heavy volume or sports traditional confirmed weakness cues is a fade entry. Keep flat on high volume greening or strength, especially early. Ordinarily, this would a lot more likely given the huge degree of reddening today. Avoid entries as a short on big gaps up or down, but down is probably worse. Keep flat on consistently strong price action, like trading above the opening price level. Avoid spike up long scalps, too. Selling volume was big, range equally imposing. Not the best of signals for shorts.
SATC
Supernovae, still maturing. See my previous comments, mostly still applicable. Closed up over 2% today. No A/H quote. Big buy volume.
TAGG
New Supernovae scan return. A 5 day move up which closed below the highs and above the open. Volume medium most days, today too. Eventually this can be shorted since it is up so absurdly. I suspect like many such plays it can go further than anyone expects, though. Conditional entry. On a higher open, it might yield a rapid green to red on Friday and spike down for a short scalp. This might even be a gap and crap. A fade on confirmed weakness cues anytime or heavy dumping on volume from or near the bell. Ideal is a flat or barely green or red open, followed by a big move down on volume to short into. Avoid big gaps, especially downward ones. Do not short into initial strength or greening. Box and drop to wait for the distribution print, if desired and avoid top fish timing fades. Keep flat on positive price action, avoid scalping long. A 0.30 fail of some kind may prove pivotal, or one at 0.25ish.
GSIT
New 52's. Short term, these yearly high stocks usually go higher. Consistently strong price action, like trading above the opening price level after the first 5 minutes, is a long. Or, if it gaps down a bit to debut or opens flat and falls briefly, a red to green and hold with strong volume. Also long on spiking up at or near the gun as a scalp. This might be an EOD exit, depending on how it holds up. Also long on a break above to new yearly highs (over 5.78) and holds. Avoid shorts/big gaps keep flat on true weakness. Volume strong Thursday, a weak sign for new buys. Needs to keep above the Thursday close or at least over 5.50 on pull backs to remain viable as a long, aside from any early noise.
POL
Red floater scan return. Idea is to play for more down side on day 2. Closed red a bit less than 1% on Thursday off a gap up that ended below the debut. Stop above the previous day session high (18.54) to cap losses on head fake fade entries. More conservatively, stop above the close on Thursday if it starts off net negative. I'm only into the shorting possibility if it surfaces, keeping flat on strength. Also a short on heavy volume dumps/confirmed weakness cues. Low sell volume on Thursday means it might have plausible chances to work. A 18 fail would be ideal. Avoid all big gaps/longs. 18 fail or gate dump?
KITD
B/O scan. I like it long back over 2.52 and holds. Ideal to stay over that on tests aside from early noise if it triggers. Stops also possible just under the close on Thursday or the 1st 30 minute low of Friday. Avoid all shorts and all big gaps. The low on Thursday is too far away to use for risk managing stops. Also a long on spiking up at or near the gun as a scalp. Medium volume on the rise, a neutral sign for new buys. No A/H quote. Exiting below 2.40 on fails after trigger entry is advisable. Early r/g buy?
ISIL
Bullish Engulfing. I like this long over 7.22/holds. Decent volume on the rise, which is a shaky sign for new buyers. Keep flat on real weakness aside from a typical red to green move, etc. Stops just under the low last time or the initial 30 minute one on Friday. More conservatively a stop placed under Thursday's close, too. The low on that day is too far away to use for stops. Ideally stays above 7 on pull backs to remain viable as a long if it triggers. No big gaps/shorts. No A/H quote shift.
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First red day Supernovae. Finished down over 40% last time, so more down side might not be realistic. If it had fallen much less than 10% then more could be expected as plausible. Always watch day 2 of a busted one. The plan is to play for more reddening on day 2. Conditional entry. A flat, nominally green or red open that immediately sells off on heavy volume or sports traditional confirmed weakness cues is a fade entry. Keep flat on high volume greening or strength, especially early. Ordinarily, this would a lot more likely given the huge degree of reddening today. Avoid entries as a short on big gaps up or down, but down is probably worse. Keep flat on consistently strong price action, like trading above the opening price level. Avoid spike up long scalps, too. Selling volume was big, range equally imposing. Not the best of signals for shorts.
SATC
Supernovae, still maturing. See my previous comments, mostly still applicable. Closed up over 2% today. No A/H quote. Big buy volume.
TAGG
New Supernovae scan return. A 5 day move up which closed below the highs and above the open. Volume medium most days, today too. Eventually this can be shorted since it is up so absurdly. I suspect like many such plays it can go further than anyone expects, though. Conditional entry. On a higher open, it might yield a rapid green to red on Friday and spike down for a short scalp. This might even be a gap and crap. A fade on confirmed weakness cues anytime or heavy dumping on volume from or near the bell. Ideal is a flat or barely green or red open, followed by a big move down on volume to short into. Avoid big gaps, especially downward ones. Do not short into initial strength or greening. Box and drop to wait for the distribution print, if desired and avoid top fish timing fades. Keep flat on positive price action, avoid scalping long. A 0.30 fail of some kind may prove pivotal, or one at 0.25ish.
GSIT
New 52's. Short term, these yearly high stocks usually go higher. Consistently strong price action, like trading above the opening price level after the first 5 minutes, is a long. Or, if it gaps down a bit to debut or opens flat and falls briefly, a red to green and hold with strong volume. Also long on spiking up at or near the gun as a scalp. This might be an EOD exit, depending on how it holds up. Also long on a break above to new yearly highs (over 5.78) and holds. Avoid shorts/big gaps keep flat on true weakness. Volume strong Thursday, a weak sign for new buys. Needs to keep above the Thursday close or at least over 5.50 on pull backs to remain viable as a long, aside from any early noise.
POL
Red floater scan return. Idea is to play for more down side on day 2. Closed red a bit less than 1% on Thursday off a gap up that ended below the debut. Stop above the previous day session high (18.54) to cap losses on head fake fade entries. More conservatively, stop above the close on Thursday if it starts off net negative. I'm only into the shorting possibility if it surfaces, keeping flat on strength. Also a short on heavy volume dumps/confirmed weakness cues. Low sell volume on Thursday means it might have plausible chances to work. A 18 fail would be ideal. Avoid all big gaps/longs. 18 fail or gate dump?
KITD
B/O scan. I like it long back over 2.52 and holds. Ideal to stay over that on tests aside from early noise if it triggers. Stops also possible just under the close on Thursday or the 1st 30 minute low of Friday. Avoid all shorts and all big gaps. The low on Thursday is too far away to use for risk managing stops. Also a long on spiking up at or near the gun as a scalp. Medium volume on the rise, a neutral sign for new buys. No A/H quote. Exiting below 2.40 on fails after trigger entry is advisable. Early r/g buy?
ISIL
Bullish Engulfing. I like this long over 7.22/holds. Decent volume on the rise, which is a shaky sign for new buyers. Keep flat on real weakness aside from a typical red to green move, etc. Stops just under the low last time or the initial 30 minute one on Friday. More conservatively a stop placed under Thursday's close, too. The low on that day is too far away to use for stops. Ideally stays above 7 on pull backs to remain viable as a long if it triggers. No big gaps/shorts. No A/H quote shift.
New users: Read my trading guide for my play set-ups!
Review my blog at Investimonials:
Follow me now on Twitter:
Watch my instructional trading videos on YouTube:
Subscribe to Big T by e-mail:
Subscribe to Big T in a news reader:
The blog has a terms of service. Be sure to read it at:
http://traderbigt.blogspot.com/2010/02/please-read-my-terms-of-service-i.html
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