Monday, May 06, 2013

Watchers for the 5-7-13 trading session

POLR

First red day Supernovae. Finished down over 11.5% last time, so more down side might not be in the cards. If it had fallen much less than 10% then more could be expected as plausible. Always watch day 2 of a busted one. The plan is to play for more reddening on day 2. Conditional entry. A flat, nominally green or red open that immediately sells off on heavy volume or sports traditional confirmed weakness cues is a fade entry. Keep flat on high volume greening or strength, especially early. This is likely given the sizable red result of Monday. Avoid entries as a short on big gaps up or down, but down is probably worse. Keep flat on consistently strong price action, like trading above the opening price level after the noise candle. Avoid spike up long scalps, too. Selling volume was modest, range bigger, at best mixed signals for new shorts.


YRCW

New Supernovae scan return. A 3 day move up which closed above the highs and above the open. Volume increasing most days, peak Monday. Eventually this can be shorted since it is up so absurdly. I suspect like many such plays it can go further than anyone expects, though. Conditional entry. On a higher open, it might yield a rapid green to red on Tuesday and spike down for a short scalp. This might even be a gap and crap. A fade on confirmed weakness cues anytime or heavy dumping on volume from or near the bell. Ideal is a flat or barely green or red open, followed by a big move down on volume to short into. Avoid big gaps, especially downward ones. Do not short into initial strength or greening. Box and drop to wait for the distribution print, if desired and avoid top fish timing fades. Keep flat on positive price action, avoid scalps.


GTE

New 52's. Short term, these yearly high stocks often go higher. Consistently strong price action, like trading above the opening price level after the first 5 minutes, is a long. Or, if it gaps down a bit to debut or opens flat and falls briefly, a red to green and hold with strong volume. Also long on spiking up at or near the gun as a scalp. This might be an EOD exit, depending on how it holds up. Also long on a break above to new yearly highs (over 6.29) and holds. Avoid shorts, keep flat on true weakness. Nice move above 6. Needs to keep above the Monday close, or at least above 6 on pull backs to remain viable as a long, aside from any early noise. No A/H quote.


AMD

Red floater scan return. Idea is to play for more down side on day 2. Closed red on Monday off a gap up open that ended below the debut. Stop just above the Monday session high (3.75) to cap losses on head fake fade entries. I'm only into the shorting possibility if it surfaces, keeping flat on strength. Also a short on heavy volume dumps/confirmed weakness cues. Moderate sell volume on Monday means it might have unclear chances to work. A 3.70 fail would be ideal or one at 3.60. Avoid big gaps/longs. Panic dump?


JRCC

B/O scan. I like it long back over 2.35 and holds. Ideal to stay over that on tests aside from early noise if it triggers. Stops also possible just under the close on Monday or the 1st 30 minute low of Tuesday. Avoid all shorts and all big gaps. The low on Monday is too far away to use for risk managing stops. Also a long on spiking up at or near the gun as a scalp. Medium volume on the rise, a weak sign for new buys. No A/H quote. Exiting below 2.20 on fails after trigger entry is possibly advisable. Early r/g?


SSRI

Bullish Engulfing. I like this long over 7.16/holds. Medium volume on the rise, which is a neutral sign for new buyers. Keep flat on real weakness aside from a typical red to green move, etc. Stops just under the low last time or the initial 30 minute one on Tuesday. More conservatively a stop placed under Monday's close, too. The low on that day is arguably not too far away to use for stops. Ideally stays above 6.98 on pull backs to remain viable as a long if it triggers. No big gaps or shorts. No A/H quote.


IMAX

Hammer scan short. The tail is not too long to use the high as a stop level unless the position is very large. Can use a bit above Monday's open for risk control. Trigger is below the low of last time, here under 27.74/holds. Avoid all big gaps, especially down ones. Up A/H a tad. If it gaps under the trigger or 27.80 let it test/hold/fall from there 1st before entering. No longs. Stop above Monday's high at the most if more aggressive.

 
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