Monday, June 10, 2013

Watchers for the 6-11-13 trading session

KNDI

New Supernovae scan return. A 5 day move up which closed below the highs and above the open. Volume varied most days, lesser Monday. Eventually this can be shorted since it is up so absurdly. I suspect like many such plays it can go further than anyone expects, though. Conditional entry. On a higher open, it might yield a rapid green to red on Tuesday and spike down for a short scalp. This might even be a gap and crap. A fade on confirmed weakness cues anytime or heavy dumping on volume from or near the bell. Ideal is a flat or barely green or red open, followed by a big move down on volume to short into. Avoid big gaps, especially downward ones. Do not short into initial strength or greening. Box and drop to wait for the distribution print, if desired and avoid top fish timing fades. Keep flat on positive price action, avoid scalps. 


AVNR

New 52's. Short term, these yearly high stocks often go higher. Consistently strong price action, like trading above the opening price level after the first 5 minutes, is a long. Or, if it gaps down a bit to debut or opens flat and falls briefly, a red to green and hold with strong volume. Also long on spiking up at or near the gun as a scalp. This might be an EOD exit, depending on how it holds up. Also long on a break above to new yearly highs (over 4.30) and holds. Avoid shorts, keep flat on true weakness. Nice move above 4. Needs to keep above the Monday close, or at least above 4 on pull backs to remain viable as a long, aside from any early noise. No A/H quote move.


VNET

Red floater scan return. Idea is to play for more, real down side on day 2. Closed up nominally on Monday off a gap up open that ended below the debut. Stop just above the Monday session high 11.22) to cap losses on head fake fade entries. I'm only into the shorting possibility if it surfaces, keeping flat on strength. Also a short on heavy volume dumps/confirmed weakness cues. Medium buy volume on Monday means it might have tepid chances to work. An 11 or 10.87 fail would be ideal. Avoid big gaps/longs. Panic dump?


AVEO

B/O scan. I like it long back over 2.60 and holds. Ideal to stay over that on tests aside from early noise if it triggers. Stops also possible just under the close on Monday or the 1st 30 minute low of Tuesday. Avoid all shorts and all big gaps. The low on Monday is too far away to use for risk managing stops. Also a long on spiking up at or near the gun as a scalp. Modest volume on the rise, a decent sign for new buys. No A/H quote shift. Exiting below 2.50 on fails after trigger entry is possibly advisable. Early r/g?


HSOL

Bullish Engulfing. I like this long over 1.77/holds. Modest volume on the rise, which is a decent sign for new buyers. Keep flat on real weakness aside from a typical red to green move, etc. Stops just under the low last time or the initial 30 minute one Tuesday. More conservatively a stop placed under Monday's close, too. The low on that day is too far away to use for stops. Ideally stays above 1.70 on pull backs to remain viable as a long if it triggers. No big gaps or shorts. No A/H quote move.


BBVA

Hammer scan long. The tail is not too long to use the low as a stop level unless the position is very large. Use the previous session close alternatively instead. Trigger is above the high of last time, here above 9.23/holds. Avoid all big gaps, especially up ones. If it gaps over the trigger or 9.20 let it test/hold/perk 1st before entering. No shorts, keep flat on redness. Modest sell volume, which could mean their interest is waning, suggesting reversal. Not really clear though. 9.20+ is the ticket for buyers. No A/H quote.


RSOL

In play both ways. As a long on continuation of momentum above 3.35/holds. Or as a scalp up at or near the gun for a scalp buy. Or, as a short on a fall fail of 3.30 and holds. Or as a scalp sell on a pop down at or near the bell. Avoid all big gaps. Be careful maintaining a short on a reversal back over 3.30. Up A/H over 2%. The fade is more likely given the price action on Monday, but be flexible here given the modest float.


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