Tuesday, October 07, 2014

Watchers for the 10-8-14 trading session

HCHC

First red day Supernovae. Finished red under 2% last time, so more down side might be in the cards. If it had fallen much more than 10% then less could be expected as plausible. Always watch day 2 of a busted one. The plan is to play for more reddening on day 2. Conditional entry. A flat, nominally green or red open that immediately sells off on heavy volume or sports traditional confirmed weakness cues is a fade entry. Keep flat on high volume greening or strength, especially early. This is not likely given the weak red result of Tuesday. Avoid entries as a short on big gaps up or down, but down is probably worse. Keep flat on consistently strong price action, like trading above the opening price level after the noise candle. Avoid spike up long scalps, too. Selling volume was small, range a bit more.  Decent mixed short signals at worst on those counts, so watch it.

No chart on this stock.

HIIT

Another initial red session Supernovae, see my comments for the above stock, which this one resembles. Ended down less than 2% as well.



ITKG

Supernovae, still maturing. See my previous comments, mostly still applicable. Ended up 10% today. Potential short.



LAKE 

New 52's. Short term, these yearly high stocks often go higher. Consistently strong price action, like trading above the opening price level after the first 5 minutes, is a long. Or, if it gaps down a bit to debut or opens flat and falls briefly, a red to green and hold with strong volume. Also long on spiking up at or near the gun as a scalp. This might be an EOD exit, depending on how it holds up. Also long on a break above to new yearly highs (over 10.74) and holds. Avoid shorts, keep flat on true weakness. Nice move above 10. Needs to keep above the Tuesday close, or at least above 9.75 on pull backs to remain viable as a long, aside from any early noise. Early sustained prices over 10.03 are ideal for aggressive entry.



ARR 

B/O scan. I like it long back over 3.98 and holds. Ideal to stay over that on tests aside from early noise if it triggers. Stops also possible just under the close on Tuesday or the 1st 30 minute low of Wednesday. Avoid all shorts and all big gaps. The low on Tuesday is not too far away to use for risk managing stops. Also a long on spiking up at or near the gun as a scalp. Moderate volume on the rise, a tepid sign for new buys. Exiting below 3.95 on fails after trigger entry is possibly advisable. Early r/g buy? 



TX 

Bullish Engulfing. I like this long over 22.34/holds. Moderate volume on the rise, which is a neutral sign for new buyers. Keep flat on real weakness aside from a typical red to green move, etc. Stops just under the low last time or the initial 30 minute one on Wednesday. More conservatively a stop placed under Tuesday's close, too. The low on that day is arguably not too far away to use for stops. Ideally stays above 21.50 on pull backs to remain viable as a long if it triggers. No big gaps or shorts. 



CTC

In play both ways. As a long on continuation of momentum above 2.30/holds. Or as a scalp up at or near the gun for a scalp buy. Or, as a short on a fall fail of 2 and holds. Or as a scalp sell on a pop down at or near the bell. Avoid all big gaps. Be careful maintaining a short on a reversal back over 2. The fade is more likely given the price action on Tuesday, but keep an open mind.



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