Monday, May 18, 2015

Watchers for the 5-19-15 trading session

TRCH

Still deciding what it's gonna do, this doji print recent Supernovae is remains up quite a bit. Possible fade on weakness. It's unclear though so take care and exit on clear reversals if shorting.


HNR

First red day Supernovae. Finished red under 3% last time, so more down side might be in the cards. If it had fallen much more than 10% then less could be expected as plausible. Always watch day 2 of a busted one. The plan is to play for more reddening on day 2. Conditional entry. A flat, nominally green or red open that immediately sells off on heavy volume or sports traditional confirmed weakness cues is a fade entry. Keep flat on high volume greening or strength, especially early. This is modestly likely given the tame red result of Monday. Avoid entries as a short on big gaps up or down, but down is probably worse. Keep flat on consistently strong price action, like trading above the opening price level after the noise candle. Avoid spike up long scalps, too. Selling volume was modest, range much wider. Mixed short signals at best on those counts, but watch it.


CHOP

In play both ways. As a long on continuation of momentum above 3.20/holds. Or as a scalp up at or near the gun for a scalp buy. Or, as a short on a fall fail of 3/and holds. Or as a scalp sell on a pop down at or near the bell. Avoid all big gaps. Be careful maintaining a short on a reversal back over 3. The fade is more likely given the price action on Monday, but keep an open mind.


AMCN

New 52's. Short term, these yearly high stocks often go higher. Consistently strong price action, like trading above the opening price level after the first 5 minutes, is a long. Or, if it gaps down a bit to debut or opens flat and falls briefly, a red to green and hold with strong volume. Also long on spiking up at or near the gun as a scalp. This might be an EOD exit, depending on how it holds up. Also long on a break above to new yearly highs (over 5.59) and holds. Avoid shorts, keep flat on true weakness. Nice move above 5.25. Needs to keep above the Monday close, or at least above 5.25 on pull backs to remain viable as a long, aside from any early noise. Early sustained prices over 5.51 are ideal for aggressive entry.


IDRA

B/O scan. I like it long back over 3.43 and holds. Ideal to stay over that on tests aside from early noise if it triggers. Stops also possible just under the close on Monday or the 1st 30 minute low of Tuesday. Avoid all shorts and all big gaps. The low on Monday is too far away to use for risk managing stops. Also a long on spiking up at or near the gun as a scalp. Modest volume on the rise, a decent sign for new buys. Exiting below 3.25 on fails after trigger entry is possibly advisable. Early r/g buy?


QTM

Bullish Engulfing. I like this long over 1.98/holds. Low volume on the rise, which is a good sign for new buyers. Keep flat on real weakness aside from a typical red to green move, etc. Stops just under the low last time or the initial 30 minute one on Tuesday. More conservatively a stop placed under Monday's close, too. The low on that day is too far away to use for stops. Ideally stays above 1.90 on pull backs to remain viable as a long if it triggers. No big gaps or shorts.


WPX

Hammer scan long. The tail is not too long to use the low as a stop level unless the position is very large. Use the previous session close alternatively instead. Trigger is above the high of last time, here above 13.27/holds. Avoid all big gaps, especially down ones. If it gaps over the trigger or 13.16 let it test/hold/perk 1st before entering. No shorts, keep flat on redness. Modest sell volume, which may mean overt buy interest has not arrived, suggesting reversal upwards is still developing.


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