Thursday, September 17, 2015

Watchers for the 9-18-15 trading session

LXRX

New 52's. Short term, these yearly high stocks often go higher. Consistently strong price action, like trading above the opening price level after the first 5 minutes, is a long. Or, if it gaps down a bit to debut or opens flat and falls briefly, a red to green and hold with strong volume. Also long on spiking up at or near the gun as a scalp. This might be an EOD exit, depending on how it holds up. Also long on a break above to new yearly highs (over 15.79) and holds. Avoid shorts, keep flat on true weakness. Nice move above 14.50. Needs to keep above the Thursday close, or at least above 15 on pull backs to remain viable as a long, aside from any early noise. Early sustained prices over 15.79 are ideal for aggressive entry.


ARWR

Red floater scan return. Idea is to play for more down side on day 2. Closed down almost 2% on Thursday off a gap up open that ended below the debut. Stop just above the Thursday session high (7.69) to cap losses on head fake fade entries. I'm only into the shorting possibility if it surfaces, keeping flat on strength. Also a short on heavy volume dumps/confirmed weakness cues. Moderate sell volume on Thursday means it may have unclear chances to work. A 7.50 fail may be ideal. Avoid big gaps/longs. Panic dump?


ACHN

B/O scan. I like it long back over 8.62 and holds. Ideal to stay over that on tests aside from early noise if it triggers. Stops also possible just under the close on Thursday or the 1st 30 minute low of Friday. Avoid all shorts and all big gaps. The low on Thursday is too far away to use for risk managing stops. Also a long on spiking up at or near the gun as a scalp. Moderate volume on the rise, a tepid sign for new buys. Exiting below 8.25 on fails after trigger entry is possibly advisable. Early r/g buy?


MFA

Bullish Engulfing. I like this long over 7.22/holds. Moderate volume on the rise, which is a neutral sign for new buyers. Keep flat on real weakness aside from a typical red to green move, etc. Stops just under the low last time or the initial 30 minute one on Friday. More conservatively a stop placed under Thursday's close, too. The low on that day is likely not too far away to use for stops. Ideally stays above 7.10 on pull backs to remain viable as a long if it triggers. No big gaps or shorts.


CANF

In play both ways. As a long on continuation of momentum above 3.28/holds. Or as a scalp up at or near the gun for a scalp buy. Or, as a short on a fall fail of 3/and holds. Or as a scalp sell on a pop down at or near the bell. Avoid all big gaps. Be careful maintaining a short on a reversal back over 3. The fade is more likely given the price action on Thursday, but keep an open mind.


PVG

I like this long on a break out over 5.50/holds. Or on a spike up at or near the gun as a scalp buy. Keep flat on after the noise candle bearish price action or on morning panic dumps. Watch for a early pseudo weakness with a a red to green move to purchase into. Avoid all big gaps and shorts. Possible short squeeze over the trigger. Moderate volume gap up sizable rise on Thursday. Requires constant monitoring. Stops just under 5.25 is one risk managing approach, since a fail back under indicates failure on the buy. 


EQC

Hammer scan short. The tail is not too long to use the high as a stop level unless the position is very large. Can use a bit above Thursday's close for risk control. Trigger is below the low of last time, here under 26.88/holds. Avoid all big gaps, especially down ones. If it gaps under the trigger or 27.09 let it test/hold/fall from there 1st before entering. No longs. Stop above Thursday's high at the most if more aggressive. 


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