Monday, September 07, 2015

Watchers for the 9-8-15 trading session

KBIO

New Supernovae scan return. A 2 day move up which closed below the highs and above the open. Volume peak Friday. Eventually this can be shorted since it is up so absurdly. I suspect like many such plays it can go further than anyone expects, though. Conditional entry. On a higher open, it might yield a rapid green to red on Tuesday and spike down for a short scalp. This might even be a gap and crap. A fade on confirmed weakness cues anytime or heavy dumping on volume from or near the bell. Ideal is a flat or barely green or red open, followed by a big move down on volume to short into. Avoid big gaps, especially downward ones. Do not short into initial strength or greening. Box and drop to wait for the distribution print, if desired and avoid top fish timing fades. Keep flat on positive price action, no scalps.


ESCC

New 52's. Short term, these yearly high stocks often go higher. Consistently strong price action, like trading above the opening price level after the first 5 minutes, is a long. Or, if it gaps down a bit to debut or opens flat and falls briefly, a red to green and hold with strong volume. Also long on spiking up at or near the gun as a scalp. This might be an EOD exit, depending on how it holds up. Also long on a break above to new yearly highs (over 1.00) and holds. Avoid shorts, keep flat on true weakness. Nice move above 0.80. Needs to keep above the Friday close, or at least above 0.90 on pull backs to remain viable as a long, aside from any early noise. Early sustained prices over 0.99 are ideal for aggressive entry.


JNP

Red floater scan return. Idea is to play for more, real down side on day 2. Closed up almost 1% on Friday off a gap up open that ended below the debut. Stop just above the Friday session high (14) to cap losses on head fake fade entries. I'm only into the shorting possibility if it surfaces, keeping flat on strength. Also a short on heavy volume dumps/confirmed weakness cues. Strong buy volume on Friday means it may have real chances to work. A 13.15 fail may be ideal. Avoid big gaps/longs. Panic dump?


DCTH

B/O scan. I like it long back over 0.52 and holds. Ideal to stay over that on tests aside from early noise if it triggers. Stops also possible just under the close on Friday or the 1st 30 minute low of Tuesday. Avoid all shorts and all big gaps. The low on Friday is too far away to use for risk managing stops. Also a long on spiking up at or near the gun as a scalp. Modest volume on the rise, a fair sign for new buys. Exiting below 0.48 on fails after trigger entry is possibly advisable. Early r/g buy?


AVXL

Bullish Engulfing. I like this long over 1.37/holds. Low volume on the rise, which is a good sign for new buyers. Keep flat on real weakness aside from a typical red to green move, etc. Stops just under the low last time or the initial 30 minute one on Tuesday. More conservatively a stop placed under Friday's close, too. The low on that day is too far away to use for stops. Ideally stays above 1.20 on pull backs to remain viable as a long if it triggers. No big gaps or shorts.


SDRL

Hammer scan long. The tail is not too long to use the low as a stop level unless the position is very large. Use the previous session close alternatively instead. Trigger is above the high of last time, here above 7.17/holds. Avoid all big gaps, especially down ones. If it gaps over the trigger or 7.10 let it test/hold/perk 1st before entering. No shorts, keep flat on redness. Modest sell volume, which may mean real buy interest is still arriving, suggesting reversal upwards is not so clear yet.


CERS

I like this long on a break out over 5.27/holds. Or on a spike up at or near the gun as a scalp buy. Keep flat on after the noise candle bearish price action or on morning panic dumps. Watch for a early pseudo weakness with a a red to green move to purchase into. Avoid all big gaps and shorts. Possible short squeeze over the trigger. Modest volume gap up decent rise on Friday. Requires constant monitoring. Stops just under 5 is one risk managing approach, since a fail back under indicates failure on the buy. 


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