Thursday, January 28, 2016

Watchers for the 1-29-16 trading session

ACIIQ

Again, watch this recent Supernovae fail for more downside. Rose today.


AMDA


New Supernovae scan return. A 3 day move up which closed under the highs and above the open. Volume near highs Thursday. Eventually this can be shorted since it is up so absurdly. I suspect like many such plays it can go further than anyone expects, though. Conditional entry. On a higher open, it might yield a rapid green to red on Friday and spike down for a short scalp. This might even be a gap and crap. A fade on confirmed weakness cues anytime or heavy dumping on volume from or near the bell. Ideal is a flat or barely green or red open, followed by a big move down on volume to short into. Avoid big gaps, especially downward ones. Do not short into initial strength or greening. Box and drop to wait for the distribution print, if desired and avoid top fish timing fades. Keep flat on positive price action, no scalps.




KOOL

First red day Supernovae. Finished red over 10.5% last time, so more down side might not be in the cards. If it had fallen much less than 10% then more could be expected as plausible. Always watch day 2 of a busted one. The plan is to play for more reddening on day 2. Conditional entry. A flat, nominally green or red open that immediately sells off on heavy volume or sports traditional confirmed weakness cues is a fade entry. Keep flat on high volume greening or strength, especially early. This is fairly likely given the big red result of Thursday. Avoid entries as a short on big gaps up or down, but down is probably worse. Keep flat on consistently strong price action, like trading above the opening price level after the noise candle. Avoid spike up long scalps, too. Selling volume was moderate, range greater. Mixed short signals at best on those counts, but watch it.



DEG

New 52's. Short term, these yearly high stocks often go higher. Consistently strong price action, like trading above the opening price level after the first 5 minutes, is a long. Or, if it gaps down a bit to debut or opens flat and falls briefly, a red to green and hold with strong volume. Also long on spiking up at or near the gun as a scalp. This might be an EOD exit, depending on how it holds up. Also long on a break above to new yearly highs (over 26.86) and holds. Avoid shorts, keep flat on true weakness. Nice move above 25.50. Needs to keep above the Thursday close, or at least above 25 on pull backs to remain viable as a long, aside from any early noise. Early sustained prices over 26.13 are ideal for aggressive entry.



TRXC

Red floater scan return. Idea is to play for more, real down side on day 2. Closed up a bit under 14% on Thursday off a gap up open that ended below the debut. Stop just above the Thursday session high (3.50) to cap losses on head fake fade entries. I'm only into the shorting possibility if it surfaces, keeping flat on strength. Also a short on heavy volume dumps/confirmed weakness cues. Huge buy volume on Thursday means it may have some chances to work. A 3 fail may be ideal. Avoid big gaps/longs. Panic dump?



ECA

B/O scan. I like it long back over 4.44 and holds. Ideal to stay over that on tests aside from early noise if it triggers. Stops also possible just under the close on Thursday or the 1st 30 minute low of Friday. Avoid all shorts and all big gaps. The low on Thursday is too far away to use for risk managing stops. Also a long on spiking up at or near the gun as a scalp. Big volume on the rise, a poor sign for new buys. Exiting below 4.25 on fails after trigger entry is possibly advisable. Early r/g buy?



QUIK

Bullish Engulfing. I like this long over 1.28/holds. Modest volume on the rise, which is a acceptable sign for new buyers. Keep flat on real weakness aside from a typical red to green move, etc. Stops just under the low last time or the initial 30 minute one on Friday. More conservatively a stop placed under Thursday's close, too. The low on that day is too far away to use for stops. Ideally stays above 1.20 on pull backs to remain viable as a long if it triggers. No big gaps or shorts.



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