Thursday, February 11, 2016

Watchers for the 2-12-16 trading session

MGH

New Supernovae scan return. A 2 day move up which closed under the highs and above the open. Volume at highs Thursday. Eventually this can be shorted since it is up so absurdly. I suspect like many such plays it can go further than anyone expects, though. Conditional entry. On a higher open, it might yield a rapid green to red on Friday and spike down for a short scalp. This might even be a gap and crap. A fade on confirmed weakness cues anytime or heavy dumping on volume from or near the bell. Ideal is a flat or barely green or red open, followed by a big move down on volume to short into. Avoid big gaps, especially downward ones. Do not short into initial strength or greening. Box and drop to wait for the distribution print, if desired and avoid top fish timing fades. Keep flat on positive price action, no scalps.



AG

Red floater scan return. Idea is to play for more, real down side on day 2. Closed up a bit over 10% on Thursday off a gap up open that ended below the debut. Stop just above the Thursday session high (4.16) to cap losses on head fake fade entries. I'm only into the shorting possibility if it surfaces, keeping flat on strength. Also a short on heavy volume dumps/confirmed weakness cues. Modest buy volume on Thursday means it may have suspect chances to work. A 4 fail may be ideal. Avoid big gaps/longs. Panic dump?



CAHPF

New 52's. Short term, these yearly high stocks often go higher. Consistently strong price action, like trading above the opening price level after the first 5 minutes, is a long. Or, if it gaps down a bit to debut or opens flat and falls briefly, a red to green and hold with strong volume. Also long on spiking up at or near the gun as a scalp. This might be an EOD exit, depending on how it holds up. Also long on a break above to new yearly highs (over 1.43) and holds. Avoid shorts, keep flat on true weakness. Nice move above 1.40. Needs to keep above the Thursday close, or at least above 1.40 on pull backs to remain viable as a long, aside from any early noise. Early sustained prices over 1.43 are ideal for aggressive entry.



P

B/O scan. I like it long back over 9.64 and holds. Ideal to stay over that on tests aside from early noise if it triggers. Stops also possible just under the close on Thursday or the 1st 30 minute low of Friday. Avoid all shorts and all big gaps. The low on Thursday is too far away to use for risk managing stops. Also a long on spiking up at or near the gun as a scalp. Big volume on the rise, a poor sign for new buys. Exiting below 9 on fails after trigger entry is possibly advisable. Early r/g buy?



RLYP

Bullish Engulfing. I like this long over 17.47/holds. Modest volume on the rise, which is a acceptable sign for new buyers. Keep flat on real weakness aside from a typical red to green move, etc. Stops just under the low last time or the initial 30 minute one on Friday. More conservatively a stop placed under Thursday's close, too. The low on that day is too far away to use for stops. Ideally stays above 17 on pull backs to remain viable as a long if it triggers. No big gaps or shorts.



NBR

Hammer scan long. The tail is not too long to use the low as a stop level unless the position is very large. Use the previous session open alternatively instead. Trigger is above the high of last time, here above 5.79/holds. Avoid all big gaps, especially down ones. If it gaps over the trigger or 5.74 let it test/hold/perk 1st before entering. No shorts, keep flat on redness. Moderate sell volume, which may mean overt buy interest is just developing, suggesting reversal upwards is not clear yet.



GNCMA

Parabolic Sar scan. I like it long over 18.14 and holds. Modest volume on the rise today, a fair sign for new longs. Place a stop under the close today or the 1st 30 minute low tomorrow. Keep flat on all big gaps and avoid shorts. Long too on spiking up at or near the gun as a scalp. If it gaps over the trigger a bit, wait for a test/hold/perk to enter.



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