Tuesday, February 16, 2016

Watchers for the 2-17-16 trading session

PGNPF

First red day Supernovae. Finished red  over 15% last time, so more down side might not be in the cards. If it had fallen much less than 10% then more could be expected as plausible. Always watch day 2 of a busted one. The plan is to play for more reddening on day 2. Conditional entry. A flat, nominally green or red open that immediately sells off on heavy volume or sports traditional confirmed weakness cues is a fade entry. Keep flat on high volume greening or strength, especially early. This is fairly likely given the sizable red result of Tuesday. Avoid entries as a short on big gaps up or down, but down is probably worse. Keep flat on consistently strong price action, like trading above the opening price level after the noise candle. Avoid spike up long scalps, too. Selling volume was medium, range ditto. Suspect signals at best on those counts, but watch it.



AUMN

Supernovae, still maturing. See my previous comments for possible entrance/exit strategies.



ZINCQ

New Supernovae scan return. A few day move up which closed under the highs and above the open. Volume near highs Tuesday. Eventually this can be shorted since it is up so absurdly. I suspect like many such plays it can go further than anyone expects, though. Conditional entry. On a higher open, it might yield a rapid green to red on Wednesday and spike down for a short scalp. This might even be a gap and crap. A fade on confirmed weakness cues anytime or heavy dumping on volume from or near the bell. Ideal is a flat or barely green or red open, followed by a big move down on volume to short into. Avoid big gaps, especially downward ones. Do not short into initial strength or greening. Box and drop to wait for the distribution print, if desired and avoid top fish timing fades. Keep flat on positive price action, no scalps.



ELMD

Another new Supernovae. See my comments for the above stock for general approach tips.


ATOS

Another new Supernovae. See my comments for the above stock for general approach tips.


SGI

Bullish Engulfing. I like this long over 5.26/holds. Low volume on the rise, which is a fair sign for new buyers. Keep flat on real weakness aside from a typical red to green move, etc. Stops just under the low last time or the initial 30 minute one on Wednesday. More conservatively a stop placed under Tuesday's close, too. The low on that day is too far away to use for stops. Ideally stays above 5 on pull backs to remain viable as a long if it triggers. No big gaps or shorts.



GRPN

In play both ways. As a long on continuation of momentum above 4.24/holds. Or as a scalp up at or near the gun for a scalp buy. Or, as a short on a fall fail of 4/and holds. Or as a scalp sell on a pop down at or near the bell. Avoid all big gaps. Be careful maintaining a short on a reversal back over 4.24. The fade is more likely given the price action on Tuesday, but keep an open mind.



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