Sunday, December 04, 2016

Watchers for the 12-5-16 trading session

GLBS

New Supernovae scan return. A 1 day move up which closed under the highs and above the open. Volume low Friday. Eventually this can be shorted since it is up so absurdly. I suspect like many such plays it can go further than anyone expects, though. Conditional entry. On a higher open, it might yield a rapid green to red on Monday and spike down for a short scalp. This might even be a gap and crap. A fade on confirmed weakness cues anytime or heavy dumping on volume from or near the bell. Ideal is a flat or barely green or red open, followed by a big move down on volume to short into. Avoid big gaps, especially downward ones. Do not short into initial strength or greening. Box and drop to wait for the distribution print, if desired and avoid top fish timing fades. Keep flat on positive price action, no scalps.



VTNR

In play both ways. As a long on continuation of momentum above 1.39/holds. Or as a scalp up at or near the gun for a scalp buy. Or, as a short on a fall fail of 1.30/and holds. Or as a scalp sell on a pop down at or near the bell. Avoid all big gaps. Be careful maintaining a short on a reversal back over 1.37. The fade is more likely given the price action on Friday, but keep an open mind.



WLB

New 52's. Short term, these yearly high stocks often go higher. Consistently strong price action, like trading above the opening price level after the first 5 minutes, is a long. Or, if it gaps down a bit to debut or opens flat and falls briefly, a red to green and hold with strong volume. Also long on spiking up at or near the gun as a scalp. This might be an EOD exit, depending on how it holds up. Also long on a break above to new yearly highs (over 19.56) and holds. Avoid shorts, keep flat on true weakness. Nice move above 18. Needs to keep above the Friday close, or at least above 18.50 on pull backs to remain viable as a long, aside from any early noise. Early sustained prices over 19.42 are ideal for aggressive entry.



ATW

Red floater scan return. Idea is to play for more down side on day 2. Closed  down over 3.5% on Friday off a gap down open that ended below the debut. Stop just above the Friday session high (10.72) to cap losses on head fake fade entries. I'm only into the shorting possibility if it surfaces, keeping flat on strength. Also a short on heavy volume dumps/confirmed weakness cues. Moderate sell volume on Friday means it may have unclear chances to work. A 10 fail may be ideal. Avoid big gaps/longs. Panic dump?



AG

B/O scan. I like it long back over 9.86 and holds. Ideal to stay over that on tests aside from early noise if it triggers. Stops also possible just under the close on Friday or the 1st 30 minute low of Monday. Avoid all shorts and all big gaps. The low on Friday is too far away to use for risk managing stops. Also a long on spiking up at or near the gun as a scalp. Modest volume on the rise, a fair sign for new buys. Exiting below 9.50 on fails after trigger entry is possibly advisable. Early r/g buy?



HYD

Bullish Engulfing. I like this long over 28.94/holds. Large volume on the rise, which is a poor sign for new buyers. Keep flat on real weakness aside from a typical red to green move, etc. Stops just under the low last time or the initial 30 minute one on Monday. More conservatively a stop placed under Friday's close, too. The low on that day is not too far away to use for stops. Ideally stays above 28.60 on pull backs to remain viable as a long if it triggers. No big gaps or shorts.



ETSY

Hammer scan long. The tail is not too long to use the low as a stop level unless the position is very large. Use the previous session close alternatively instead. Trigger is above the high of last time, here above 11.96/holds. Avoid all big gaps, especially down ones. If it gaps over the trigger or 11.83 let it test/hold/perk 1st before entering. No shorts, keep flat on redness. Low sell volume, which may mean overt buy interest is still developing, suggesting reversal upwards is unclear.


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