Tuesday, February 05, 2013

Watchers for the 2-6-13 trading session

MJNA

First red day Supernovae. Finished down more than 28.5% last time, so more down side might not be in the cards. If it had fallen much less than 10% then more could be expected as plausible. Always watch day 2 of a busted one. The plan is to play for more reddening on day 2. Conditional entry. A flat, nominally green or red open that immediately sells off on heavy volume or sports traditional confirmed weakness cues is a fade entry. Keep flat on high volume greening or strength, especially early. This rather likely given the clear red result of Tuesday. Avoid entries as a short on big gaps up or down, but down is probably worse. Keep flat on consistently strong price action, like trading above the opening price level after the noise candle. Avoid spike up long scalps, too. Selling volume was big, range also extensive, not good signals for new shorts.


OPXA

New Supernovae scan return. A 1 day move up which closed below the highs and below the open. Volume small most days, peak Tuesday. Eventually this can be shorted since it is up so absurdly. I suspect like many such plays it can go further than anyone expects, though. Conditional entry. On a higher open, it might yield a rapid green to red on Wednesday and spike down for a short scalp. This might even be a gap and crap. A fade on confirmed weakness cues anytime or heavy dumping on volume from or near the bell. Ideal is a flat or barely green or red open, followed by a big move down on volume to short into. Avoid big gaps, especially downward ones. Do not short into initial strength or greening. Box and drop to wait for the distribution print, if desired and avoid top fish timing fades. Keep flat on positive price action, avoid scalps.


REV

New 52's. Short term, these yearly high stocks often go higher. Consistently strong price action, like trading above the opening price level after the first 5 minutes, is a long. Or, if it gaps down a bit to debut or opens flat and falls briefly, a red to green and hold with strong volume. Also long on spiking up at or near the gun as a scalp. This might be an EOD exit, depending on how it holds up. Also long on a break above to new yearly highs (over 18.50) and holds. Avoid shorts, keep flat on true weakness. Nice move above 16.50. Needs to keep above the Friday close, or at least above 17 on pull backs to remain viable as a long, aside from any early noise. 18+ ideal.


MACK

B/O scan. I like it long back over 6.50 and holds. Ideal to stay over that on tests aside from early noise if it triggers. Stops also possible just under the close on Tuesday or the 1st 30 minute low of Wednesday. Avoid all shorts and all big gaps. The low on Tuesday is too far away to use for risk managing stops. Also a long on spiking up at or near the gun as a scalp. Medium volume on the rise, a tepid sign for new buys. Up A/H a bit over 2%. Exiting below 6.30 on fails after trigger entry is possibly advisable. Early r/g?


CLSN

Bullish Engulfing. I like this long over 1.32/holds. Moderate volume on the rise, which is a neutral sign for new buyers. Keep flat on real weakness aside from a typical red to green move, etc. Stops just under the low last time or the initial 30 minute one on Wednesday. More conservatively a stop placed under Tuesday's close, too. The low on that day is too far away to use for stops. Ideally stays above 1.20 on pull backs to remain viable as a long if it triggers. No big gaps or shorts. Down A/H nearly 1%.


TTNP

Bearish Engulfing. I like it short below the low (2.14) of Tuesday. Strong volume on the drop, which is a poor sign for new sellers. Keep flat on real strength aside from a typical green to red move, etc. Stops just above the high last time or the initial 30 minute one on Wednesday. More conservatively a stop placed above Tuesday's close, too. The high on that day is too far away to use for risk control via stops. Ideally keeps under 2.30 on any pull ups to remain viable as a short. Avoid all big gaps/longs.


EZPW  

Hammer scan long. The tail is not too long to use the low as a stop level unless the position is very large. Use the previous session open alternatively instead. Trigger is above the high of last time, here above 21.30/holds. Avoid all big gaps, especially up ones. 21+ is the ticket. No A/H quote. If it gaps over the trigger or 21 let it test/hold/perk 1st before entering. No shorts, keep flat on redness.

 
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